Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001113 0.001265 0.001418 0.001585 0.001760 0.001938 0.002133
2025-03-30 0.000893 0.001109 0.001337 0.001592 0.001868 0.002154 0.002473
2025-04-06 0.000743 0.001009 0.001299 0.001632 0.002000 0.002390 0.002831
2025-04-13 0.000646 0.000954 0.001301 0.001709 0.002168 0.002662 0.003226
2025-04-20 0.000486 0.000809 0.001189 0.001649 0.002178 0.002755 0.003424
2025-04-27 0.000350 0.000676 0.001078 0.001580 0.002169 0.002823 0.003589
2025-05-04 0.000292 0.000632 0.001069 0.001626 0.002290 0.003033 0.003910
2025-05-11 0.000195 0.000521 0.000967 0.001554 0.002267 0.003076 0.004041
2025-05-18 0.000113 0.000412 0.000855 0.001461 0.002213 0.003080 0.004123
2025-05-25 0.000067 0.000346 0.000794 0.001427 0.002227 0.003158 0.004287
2025-06-01 0.000027 0.000272 0.000712 0.001360 0.002195 0.003179 0.004383
2025-06-08 0.000009 0.000228 0.000669 0.001341 0.002221 0.003266 0.004553
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000204 0.000669 0.001398 0.002365 0.003523 0.004956
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000163 0.000635 0.001407 0.002451 0.003714 0.005286
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000137 0.000623 0.001446 0.002576 0.003953 0.005676
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000125 0.000635 0.001521 0.002748 0.004250 0.006136
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000078 0.000562 0.001465 0.002746 0.004335 0.006343
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000040 0.000489 0.001399 0.002728 0.004397 0.006522
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000030 0.000485 0.001444 0.002856 0.004640 0.006918
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000009 0.000417 0.001375 0.002828 0.004685 0.007074
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000343 0.001288 0.002768 0.004687 0.007176
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000303 0.001256 0.002784 0.004783 0.007390
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000251 0.001193 0.002750 0.004814 0.007522